Preseason Rankings
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#150
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.1#250
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#171
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#141
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 10.3% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.6 12.2 13.2
.500 or above 55.5% 68.9% 42.3%
.500 or above in Conference 53.3% 61.3% 45.5%
Conference Champion 7.6% 10.2% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 5.4% 11.5%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round7.6% 10.0% 5.2%
Second Round1.5% 2.2% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 49.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 36 - 67 - 12
Quad 48 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 103   Wright St. L 67-68 50%    
  Nov 13, 2019 241   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 77-75 58%    
  Nov 16, 2019 352   Alabama A&M W 75-54 97%    
  Nov 25, 2019 145   Drake L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 03, 2019 133   Northern Kentucky W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 07, 2019 182   @ Evansville L 70-71 48%    
  Dec 15, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 81-59 97%    
  Dec 18, 2019 6   @ Louisville L 59-80 4%    
  Dec 21, 2019 136   Bradley W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 04, 2020 154   @ Central Michigan L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 07, 2020 108   @ Bowling Green L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 10, 2020 104   Buffalo L 77-78 49%    
  Jan 14, 2020 129   Kent St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 18, 2020 120   @ Ball St. L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 21, 2020 132   Akron W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 222   Eastern Michigan W 67-60 72%    
  Jan 28, 2020 154   Central Michigan W 78-75 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 147   @ Northern Illinois L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 04, 2020 231   Western Michigan W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 08, 2020 217   @ Ohio W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 11, 2020 112   @ Toledo L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 15, 2020 147   Northern Illinois W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 132   @ Akron L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 25, 2020 129   @ Kent St. L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 108   Bowling Green L 73-74 50%    
  Mar 03, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 74-80 30%    
  Mar 06, 2020 217   Ohio W 74-67 71%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.2 3.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.4 1.7 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.9 2.1 0.2 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.5 2.2 0.8 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.1 12th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.0 4.9 6.6 8.7 10.1 10.8 11.4 10.6 9.6 7.6 5.7 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 91.5% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 79.9% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 51.9% 2.2    1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 22.3% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.5 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 97.5% 63.3% 34.2% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.1%
17-1 0.5% 77.4% 55.8% 21.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 48.8%
16-2 1.3% 54.3% 38.2% 16.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 26.0%
15-3 2.5% 35.2% 29.8% 5.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 7.7%
14-4 4.1% 29.7% 27.0% 2.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 3.7%
13-5 5.7% 20.6% 19.7% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 1.1%
12-6 7.6% 13.7% 13.5% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.5 0.2%
11-7 9.6% 8.3% 8.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 8.8
10-8 10.6% 7.3% 7.3% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 9.8
9-9 11.4% 2.8% 2.8% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.1
8-10 10.8% 1.9% 1.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.6
7-11 10.1% 1.0% 1.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
6-12 8.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
5-13 6.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.6
4-14 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.8% 7.1% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.9 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.2 92.2 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.5 51.9 48.1